Wow, the Conservatives are set to sweep the Quebec City area and are running a close second in the other predominately Francophone areas. The Liberals had better be ready to seriously bring it. The latest Leger poll paints yet another grim picture for the Liberals in Quebec. Only the Montreal island holds any hope for them, and it isn't that great. At this rate no one can doubt the accuracy of these polls.
I wonder how the Liberals and pundits will spin this?
6 comments:
Actually, when you put these poll results into this predictor:http://esm.ubc.ca/cgi/vmm
they come out as:BQ-33 seats, Lib-22 seats,Con-19 seats & 1 independent
There is no way the Bloc is getting 33 seats..
Why not run Mulroney's pre 1984 poll numbers through the 'predictor' and see just what the predictor tell you.
The media are pushing the polls that suggest Harper will get a majority to try to scare voters away. They want to create the idea that Harper should get another minority at best.
The polls that show it's close to a tie will get buried and the ones showing a majority will get pumped.
On the broooaaadcaaast yesterday Newman was pumping the ten point lead.
Anon@8:46 maybe....or maybe they were just as surprised?
That scare tactic will not be as effective this time around as last time.
Well, people are back from vacations and now have time to think about who they desire to vote for. That is why the increase in [perceived] popularity. The only poll that counts is election day.
The hard part will get people to vote - in particular the younger voters. I met a 22 year old and mentioned that she go and vote, even if it is an independendent. If you do not vote then you gan not gomplain.
Can you imagine what would happen if 70% of eligible voters showed up? Wish I knew how to solve this problem - I mean they actually can take time off work to vote. There are enough advance polls open to accommodate voters who might be away.
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