Tuesday, October 7, 2008

EKOS numbers hold

I am not sure if the Conservative support has bottomed out, or something is seriously wrong with their polling, but EKOS is the only polling company still showing any significant lead for the Conservatives.

The Liberal pundits like to hold up Nanos and say since they are a tracking poll, they are the only ones that have their pulse on the electorate. Of course EKOS is also a daily tracking poll.

“As we have been saying for several days now, although we continue to see some modest shifts in public opinion that can have quite large effects on the distribution of seats due to our first-past-the-post electoral system, the underlying pattern is one of relative stability – with the parties in the same order now as they were at the beginning of the campaign,” said Graves. “And each night that passes, voters’ are hardening their decisions.”

We're better off with Harper.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Rather than looking at the absolute numbers, I think the more significant thing that may give hope to the Tory campaign is the reversal of the negative trend line we had been seeing for the previous four days before today.

We can only hope that there starts to be a positive trend for the rest of the week for the Conservatives (and hopefully the stock market also!)

Anonymous said...

In the last election, the Nanos poll predicted the result almost perfectly. It is a credible poll. Stop bashing it because you don't like it.

AnonymousCoward said...

Anon@12:13

Don't be daft, I am not criticizing Nanos, I criticized EKOS, I also mentioned that EKOS is also a daily tracking poll. As they are the only polling company still showing a lead.

People claim Nanos is superior because it is a daily tracking poll, but there are others, to claim that Nanos is superior because it is a daily tracking poll is incorrect.